A graduate in four years, 80 of China's thinking!

 A graduate in four years 80 Reflections of China!
Author: Anonymous articles sent to: Utopia Update Time :2009-10-30

graduate four years after a 80 Reflections of China! ( transfer)
a blink of an eye, has graduated more than 4 years, my children also have more than 3 years old. once he thought he was very young, she felt as a child, looking back, that everything has gone. The Master said, torrent, ideals, has been exciting, to dream, have fought the face of reality, a compromise has been the face of temptation, has surrendered before. However, with life, I never gave up thinking, but who follow the crowd never gave up self. Over the years, been through a lot, I hope to put it on a number of years experience and interact with you.
on the Chinese economy: Even foreigners know that China's economy is a miracle, 10% for 20 consecutive years of growth , or perhaps even because of a false start made the national GDP, to the country in recent years to suppress GDP, can say that China's GDP has never been announced is not true. but be sure that 20 years of rapid growth is indisputable. However, this is 20 years of economic growth, brought to China what? say China's economic growth, we must first understand how China's economy is growing, I think that China's economy is brought about by the factory of the world's . I have thought about what kind of country can become the world's factory, and why the developed countries set aside political prejudices have chosen China as the world's factory.
I think as a world factory, we must first have the following conditions:
1. must have a sufficient labor force: to want to do the world's factory, must have sufficient labor force, which is the foundation. China has 1.4 billion people, there is sufficient labor protection;
2. in the area to have a stable political foundation and the environment: no doubt, on this earth, China is more democratic country than the few, the autocratic rule of decision to a stable political environment;
3. the labor to have a certain IQ: IQ and if there is no certain education, protection, do not have enough skills, not to participate in the modernization of industry;
4. labor to extremely low;
5. in the region had no religious beliefs: religious people can not become a cheap labor force , there will be a person with faith can not give up something, and China, through countless hardships, faith has become a humble thing, but money is the goal for all;
6. in the area who can not be lazy: Africans can not, too lazy to make the number of how much, and China, just as our history books put it, areas have sufficient resources to: do the world's factory, raw materials is very important, energy is also very important, vast land of China stand the toss, the first coal reserves, a lot of resources among the best;
8. the environment from regional government to allow crazy damage: Needless to say, China is developing at the same time, the environment has been hit.
from the above conditions, not difficult to understand the developed capitalist countries would give up years of prejudice and confrontation, acceptance into a socialist country factory of the world.
I often regret that he did not learn when the junior high school, but I also vaguely remember the evil of political books on the description of capitalism, and I still remember the And what is happening in China, and the original is too the resemblance of capitalism? farmers lost their land, becoming a proletarian, but unfortunately the city as migrant workers, has become the modern era can not be stopped on the gear, the driver of China's huge machine brave move. Yes, our great socialist country in just ten years has trained many world-class rich, in their eyes, dozens of the amount of Hummer toys, tens of millions of luxury is a mere trifle, But? behind this it? several employees of these enterprises could afford to buy a house? I'm afraid this is a true portrayal of the Chinese economy, China's economy is like a full hand diamond ring Kuotai Tai, followed by a group of ragged servants. China's economy is on the assembly line workers, more than ten hours a day, 500 a month to block wage to come forward. are those in the mine, more than 6,000 people die each year of the miners dug out. is that Jiangsu, Zhejiang Yangtze River Delta Now everywhere for over dark water. is that simple hundreds of millions of farmers, the loss of the land, to work in town, selling blood and sweat come.
China's economic growth, and that people get what it? increasing cost of education, ironically, aristocratic university fees, students are selling the output into the price of cabbage, carrot. not to mention the cost of medical care, once in hospital, not to be stripped out a layer of skin, is unlikely to be out of most people in China got the disease is not usually go to the hospital for medical treatment, at least I was one. house? not have to say. In retrospect, people's income? There are several people's income and GDP growth simultaneously? other than civil service.
China's economy is very unique. the rapid development of China's GDP, but the inflation rate is very low, meaning that price increases are not high, Why? because people do not have money, and prices do not rise up. a lot of deposits in China, but consumption is very low, because the little money people have saved up the kids to school, a doctor, used to buy a house, not consumption. China Government's revenue record high, but people's incomes are not gone up, the country rich and poor people.
is the essence of the Chinese economy and the people for profits, the state is from the people of every penny to the mouth wins . China is good for America, you can rely on external trade and domestic wars of aggression for the benefit of the people, the Chinese government as an unqualified housekeeper, crazy looting people's money did not say, can not properly managed, stands to reason that a country is, the people's welfare should be improved, and we? This two decades, the number of welfare farther and farther away from the people? money, many of which are lost by corruption, eat and drink out of prostitution, while more than one billion in China the people, with their own hands, hard work, the premise of unequal trade, for the European and American developed countries to provide cheap shoes, clothes, toys, daily necessities. hard to imagine, if not cheap Chinese goods, Europe and the United States people's lives levels back to what extent. Our shoes to Spain, will be burned, we have not something to say, our products to Europe, America, everywhere face anti-dumping. Our government is certainly wealthy, and Airbus, Boeing cooperation, what child is hundreds of aircraft, orders for billions of dollars. Bo proud to release as saying, China needs at least the next few years, thousands of aircraft. Of course, there is word famous Bo Xilai, China to spend million shirts in exchange for a plane. I tmd do not understand, the Chinese even to dry so many aircraft? Let's migrant workers return home New Year brother sitting up?
now in this world, as long as China needs something, the price surge, while the rich in China, the price has been weak. China is now the world's largest iron ore importer, stands to reason that the biggest buyers, the price negotiation process should have sufficient right to speak, but the situation in the past few years we have seen, is always a unilateral price increase iron ore prices, and the Korean and Japanese companies about negotiations, prices settle down, people do not take you to play. As the world's factory, Copper is an essential raw material for the manufacturing industry, copper prices we all know, all the way to Hurricane. China's State Reserve Bureau in 3500 U.S. dollars for the space, the result has been international speculators short squeeze to $ 4,000, the result can be imagined, should be is lost hundreds of millions of dollars. China is now the second largest importer of oil, the result oil prices to move up sharply, from 30 dollars to have up to 80 dollars, the state-owned Singapore-listed China Aviation Oil is, playing with paper copy of oil cargo, is bearish, the result lost a 500 million U.S. dollars, bankruptcy trouble. the way to start what, if in the mainland, a listed company mess, bankruptcy trouble, small investors can only watch the stock change of paper, there is little way, but in Singapore, I'm sorry, international shareholders do not agree, the state had to restructure enterprises, restructuring is completed inside with taxpayer money. China's coal in the world, but the coal prices? a lot of rare metal reserves in China the world's first such as rare earth, such as titanium (aerospace essential raw materials), the price has been stagnant. Of course, there are wealthy Chinese labor, the price would not have said, a large number of Chinese clothing, shoes, death is cheap , if not cheaper to death, the Spaniards will not have to burn your shoes, ah, because they are inexpensive to one-tenth of others, others have no way to compete. The Chinese government are many examples of incompetence, such as real estate, or Shanghai in China real estate should benefit from the most powerful foreigners, in China's stock market, this year should also benefit from the most powerful is a foreigner, in a word, but others play.
China's real estate:
your room always been interested in real estate, housing prices will continue to rise and is a staunch supporter. Then I said the house is the problem.
first funny thing is, as a socialist country, a country owned, State ownership of land owned by a country, actually there will be problems people can not afford the house itself is a mockery. play a game, we must first understand your opponent, the real estate game, on the one hand the central government + local government + banking, real estate speculators can be counted as a separate business + side of the forces, but his interests and the country is largely in line, or in other words, real estate, China's economy has been kidnapped, so there is no way the State only energy and real estate developers to stand together. the most vulnerable party is the people. When the Chinese economy is facing a crisis, the state suddenly found that real estate is a good aphrodisiac, aphrodisiacs are the results of a dose of this unbridled use of the government until today kinds of riding a tiger of the situation. the Government's interest was of course the land can be obtained by selling large amounts of revenue, of course, by the way can increase the GDP. bank earnings in the wrong? for example, said, such as my family, my life worked so hard to keep 30 million in the bank, the banks have to pay me interest, but if we use the money to buy a 600,000 house, which deposits taken out three hundred thousand, not out of the bank's door, it becomes the bank's assets, you Also down three hundred thousand owed to the bank, you owe the bank became the thirty changing business. Chinese banks are stupid, but have no means of making money, can only rely on savings and loan bad linger, but the loans to state-owned enterprises or other enterprises, dead accounts default rate is very high, real estate loans are the most high-quality banking services, one of the highest returns of the business. development of real estate to have such benefits, the state and banks will hold the holding of real estate aphrodisiac . From this perspective, the developers of this game is just a prop, since it is props to Tusigoupeng inevitable fate, so I know that many real estate owners are Canadian or other nationality, and there is always the end game of the day, they would escape route ready. Finally who will pay for China's frenzied real estate? only the industrious and brave people.
I believe that the state has adopted a policy is not so much to suppress but in order to maintain the prices of real estate, I also believe that many so-called just to be, I also believe that RMB appreciation will bring international hot money to buy property. Many people think that the state has adopted Article X is to suppress the country real estate, this understanding is very wrong, and most can not stand is the national housing slump, as housing prices have fallen, the first hazard is the banks, the bank will become the landlord and the bank is behind the country. so the state said, to strictly enforce the land approval system of land as real estate of raw materials, strict approval process, and that supply is reduced, prices will go up. so the state to raise the land transfer that gold, which is to enhance the practice of raw material costs. 5 years, said second-hand country housing transactions to be charged 20% VAT, which is to protect the real estate business, is very simple, I buy a house in the same place, in order to sell the real estate business more than 20% higher cost, how to play this game ?, etc., etc., and so on, all means nothing more than increase the cost of raw materials, increasing the cost of circulation, all means I only see the national benefit, do not see the benefit of the people. However, the house, as a people's livelihood commodities, rose to the current look, I think is coming to an end. Leaving aside our house in Shanghai, Wuxi's house, about 5000 everywhere, but in Wuxi's wages? 1000 about everywhere, house prices have to a very abnormal degree, no matter how you blow, that scarcity of land, even that silly B non-renewable land (an internationally recognized land is a renewable resource), just how strong and so much more to be the last people there is no purchasing power, That is nonsense. Shanghai's housing prices fell slightly in 2006, while the volume of serious shrinkage, which is performance. one example, a friend of my wife, his mother was ill in bed all year round, its about 2000 a month income , husband of Shanxi, the monthly income of around 3,000, two people buy a set of 40 million house, a ten-million renovation, and I think they at least more than 20 million credit money, but also by the ten million. This are too numerous, the Chinese people to buy a house, that is the whole family, filled a few years go in all the deposits. Many young people wary of buying a house, are also expected to build on top of a better future. But I know , China cut interest rates in 2004 are before the channel is already very low interest rates (interest rate cuts to stimulate consumption, the Bank of China savings is very high, these loans are not out of money). And these few years, China has entered the Canadian interest rate channel, if I remember correctly, in 2005 to the present, has two more rate increases, and this is only the beginning. countries in a dilemma, afraid to raise interest rates to suppress consumption, without fear of excess liquidity, interest rates, so these two years have repeatedly upgrading the deposit reserve ratio, raising interest rates in disguise. With interest rates, the cost of your loan will be increasingly high. but your wages? rapid growth of China's economy has been 20 years, this is a miracle, Is China's economy will go on forever? other regions have been replaced by China as the world factory signs, such as Vietnam and China in recent years something? tech no, no services, the financial sector mess, in addition to the cheap labor, I do not see what China's development. Therefore, this method of buying a house is very scary, once interest rates, and loss of jobs, such families will face disaster. real estate financial products, is capital markets, the last only for the high prices people pay for, how to buy law, I do not know. Japan's real estate, real estate in Hong Kong are warning, I do not understand, how could so many people so optimistic for the price, the simple truth, this world does not earn, instead of losing business (which is considered the house a few years), did not only rise and not fall in the market. other people are doing business in real estate speculation, and if lost, the big deal is the loss of profits , all have lost any business has earned. But we little people do? your house to live a life, you have to repay the loan a few years, the risk that you considered it? Japanese real estate has a lot of people jumping off a building, Hong Kong real estate has also been engaged in a lot of people jumping from buildings, Why China will avoid this process? I said, the Chinese government is incompetent, incompetent government can only make decisions for all the wrong people for his bill state-owned enterprises reform and if so, the case of health care reform, education reform and if so, are the interests of the people selling it. the real estate end the case. Now the risk of the property sector have been gradually exposed, and the Hu-Wen government as the government can not allow house prices to continue to People First go up, but in order to maintain the price unchanged, is impossible, this is the voting market behavior, not help change some people's will. prices rose up, and the stock almost 2 years to rise a 3 / 5 times, or up, I believe it is not bad.
right, but also talk about the recently introduced policy of land value increment tax collection, the message released the same day, the stock market more than 20 real estate companies limit, Even now, many real estate company's stock fell about 30% have not got it together. Why is this policy with such a response? increase land value, that is, real estate companies in order to avoid hoarding of land, a valuable commodity, you do not say no to it? Then do not conceal it, and let cool it out. This greatly increased the developers hoarding land and not development costs, by increasing the supply of property on the market, the result will be, we'll see . I do not believe that China can not be 9.6 million square kilometers with 1.4 billion people living in Japan diao big place, 2 billion people still live in it, but what is the geographical environment in Japan? volcanoes, oceans, earthquakes hh is the funniest recent a press, is the chairman of Wantong Group wrote an article, APB's Wu Po Sum On a TV video communication will, everyone talk about the recent situation, and finally we reached a very clear consensus, a government of these control measures, including improved tax policies that are very positive, and Some policies have been out before, only now on the increased enforcement. When you saw the same industry have such a close relationship? McDonald's and KFC would do that? Lenovo and HP will do it? Wal-Mart and Carrefour will do it? This can only indicate a problem, real estate competition among providers is not, they do not have the interests of the confrontation, their common opponents (opponents hardly be said, at most, prey) is who? What do you think?
abuse aphrodisiacs, so that real estate soon reached a climax, the means used are used, false advertising, collusion, publishing false information, expert oral sex add to the fun, the full support of the Government, as some people say, now, can afford to buy a basic house, can not afford, you're killing him, can not afford to buy. climax has passed? What will be left behind?
Chinese stock market Why is the development of the stock market? Speaking from the Bank of China, China's state-owned enterprises not only to bank loans, banks can not loan, the development of people's livelihood, state-owned enterprises, and the bank state-owned enterprises is a mother of two children, are own business. But after the loans to state-owned enterprises can not replace him, ah, this continues there will be a lot of death bank accounts bad debts, the State must come up with billions of dollars each year funds to help banks fill the hole, the money coming from? course We ordinary people. This will not do, the state can not stand, how to do? out stock market, stock markets of other countries is to give a good corporate finance, China's securities market is set to the state to solve problems. One endangered bankruptcy of enterprises, but to several hundred times the value listed, and then is kept misappropriating, refinancing, but never dividends, such enterprises in China's listed companies everywhere. So, a strange phenomenon, the Chinese Economic bolted the ten years, China's stock market has slumped by 5 / 6 years, some say the stock market undervalued, and did not reflect the strength of the Chinese economy, in my view, the stock market decline did not underestimate the time that the Chinese economy itself not create value-driven Chinese companies, China's gdp is what? investment-led!! are bad companies, the stock market can not fall, it? 5-year bear market, stock market evaporated trillions, the money is this? the vast number of shareholders, which is people buy the single for the country.
why the stock market up: China to immediately open the financial sector is facing, that point out the real situation in China, does not stand the torment, if opening up the financial industry , what BC, CBC, ICBC last is a Little Fairy said. the face of wto agreements, can not lie, how to do, can only be sold to banks, the introduction of strategic management, so to share this cake, you they are not a dead, so there will be sold at banks of that, BTW, before selling the bank, the state almost every bank has to pay for the hundreds of billions in cash, or your bank balance did not stick, others do not ah. the purpose of selling banks are not, nor is the purpose of introducing strategic investors banks have listed. Therefore, China's stock market up in accordance with policy requirements. The stock market is not booming, people did not dare come in, not the stock market, banks can not sell a good price. Therefore, the stock market up, is the country's needs It is the policy needs. you know, the market value of ICBC bank HSBC and other banks more than once topped the throne of the world's largest banks, of course, with the share price fell just short of the emperor made the Chinese stock market has been evident in the madness . The stock market's rise, the state smoothly to the Bank of China, ICBC, Datong-Qinhuangdao Railway, China Life and other giant companies sold to the Chinese people, the words of the economist, this way, Chinese people have the opportunity to take China's rapid development on the train, headed for a happy well-off life. can not well I do not know, but I know that the final bill for the stock market madness, or the people. Bank basically dealt with, but do not give up the meaning of the State, because countries also hope to those who have already listed overseas to get the country to sell the company again and again, is in the A share market. such as Bank of China, China Life is. However, when those in the foreign market price-earnings ratio of only ten times times Company, to A shares when the price-earnings ratio is basically a few times, and apply on you, of course, good price.
there any good companies in China? of course, in Shi Yougang become the most profitable in Asia company (Note that there is no one), over the years to overseas shareholders in the oil gains should be hundreds of billions of dollars of it, while Sinopec, the country it? The list goes on, China's enterprises listed overseas are bullish in the domestic listed companies misappropriating always bullish, it is only by chance it?! rotten world, you get to sell the company, there is no market, others deny it, ah, good company arbitrary, it does not line sold abroad, such as the CAO, you finish off, and also to give me spit it out. Chinese people like to speak much, how bad your company, do not know, since you said the value of one billion is 1,000,000,000 , the big deal is that you each a dollar.
countries now these companies want the oil return, I would like to return when the people's certainly sold a few times if the sold abroad, as do the future earnings, let's not think of. However, as long as the country still think the stock market, but also want to squeeze a little blood and sweat from the stock market, and that the stock market will not stop a thriving scene. because of oil, China Mobile, the biggest names do not return, the state does not will give the people of the opportunity to kill about, and want to sell these companies, you need to create a good atmosphere (the Chinese are very particular about the atmosphere, before the opening should create an atmosphere XX large), the more people lie came. For the stock market, I believe the final results will not escape the bubble disappeared, but it is too early.
why I put the stock market and housing market started about two side by side, because for China, ordinary people very few investment channels, the reasons for people to save money without spending money is because he does not with money, why start there will be shares of China crazy, there full stock, and the National real estate has emerged in recent years?! appreciation of the RMB in channel , but it is certain that the yuan's appreciation has not got to the point of madness, this is a controlled slow appreciation, the state will be a lot of hot money into China. should be said that real estate and stock market, the two should have a great opportunity But for me, the real estate has reached unacceptable proportions, and I always thought that this practice of real estate law is very immoral. stock market there is a huge risk, not the usual retail can play the game. the stock market which wave has undergone two major changes, the first 6 / 7 months, and once that is now a large-scale retail market are carried out under the premise. Why is there such a situation, it is clear that in the retail When a large number of intervention to its surprise hit, and then continue to move up when the retail flesh, in the move up process, is the need to continue to pay for someone.
for China's capital market, my understanding is that real estate and the stock market are two trays, the bank is the middle of the lever, the state is the balance of the shelf, as to where the balance when the ramp is determined by the will of the country is done by the bank to help.
, of course, that so much, China is not without merit, the Hu-Wen's ability to govern is good, the Government has demonstrated a certain degree of determination and sincerity. China will certainly be better and better benefits, complete generally begin the implementation of compulsory education, medical care reform of the basic negative, may be pushed again. For the corruption, I suggest you pay more attention to news .06 to the present, China's provincial governor, provincial party secretary, I estimate that for more than half, it's all in the case of moisten things silently carried out under the punishment of officials, Chen and Liu Zhihua should be the two most typical example, the Shanghai Beijing the playing board 50. In China, is not nothing the international community, China in Africa has access to a huge interest a conference, you can invite up to 60 African heads of state, which can do not other countries, Europe and America looked jealous, said the Chinese engage in neo-colonialism in Africa, to tmd, we are not the same, No more than anyone else clean. But I see that these changes can not cover up China's problems, the simplest thing is a Daughter of the case the past two years particularly, there is a phenomenon that is killed by the Secretary, Deputy Secretary, XX Bureau Long was the woods, a lot of things. In the case of social imbalances, people will become desperate. a press saw people sad, it was an explosion in the bank robbed 20 million in cash, too funny, and such a crime must be to decapitation, to what extent a person would do such a thing? 20 million, but an official corruption what kind of punishment will receive it? 200 million it corruption? now it is the corruption of 2 billion, also sentenced to a more than ten years now.
Chinese officials have not a new flight services, and recently saw two news, one is Lang Lang has become our nationals, one is double-Li joined the Hong Kong membership application, there is a filled in to the recent Son of the trend in Hong Kong. In the face of China, we can not be too pessimistic, but definitely not optimistic, I do not understand, to what extent a country well, so almost all of them will have to wait to leave him? corrupt officials can understand But Li was double that special treatment in the country, who had also left a very good, why is this? children in Hong Kong cost is not low, like a trip down to ten million, what is the reason these people mind to spend so much to do in Hong Kong's father? although the same under the national flag. I know is that the face of this country, they can escape, which more than one billion people are captive, and I want to be one of them, a total of witness China's present and future.
why the tears in my eyes often, because I love this land of deep
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